FNUS71 KBGM 271608 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR HARDYTOWN...DCNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 1208 PM EDT MON APR 27 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1151 EDT ON APRIL 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TODAY WILL BE ANOTHER HOT DRY DAY. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. RH VALUES WILL LOWER TO AROUND 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON BUT WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. ON TUESDAY, A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 10700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 6700 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4200 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (90500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............0 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TEMP................79 85 91 RH..................32 25 20 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 7 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 20 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 4 SW 5 SW 6 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 15 20 LAL.................1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........6 5 5 VRATE KT-FT/1000....4 91 91 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MAX HUMIDITY........67-83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 22 MPH...INCREASING TO 31 TO 37 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (90500 KNOT-FT)...DECREASING TO POOR (6800 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............1 0 0 0 0 4 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................85 78 72 67 63 60 RH..................25 33 43 54 62 68 20 FT WIND..........SW 7 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 5 SW 4 SW 4 SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 10 5 5 5 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 6 6 VRATE KT-FT/1000....91 91 91 91 7 7 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........33-40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 26 TO 32 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 0 MPH LATE. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (5800-6800 KNOT-FT). EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............4 0 10 15 18 36 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP................57 57 60 63 65 68 RH..................77 85 75 63 52 46 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 SW 2 W 6 W 9 W 10 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 25 25 25 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 2 SW 2 W 4 W 7 W 7 SW 7 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 10 25 25 25 LAL.................1 3 3 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 4 4 4 VRATE KT-FT/1000....7 7 7 7 6 6 $$ FORECASTER...HEDEN REQUESTED BY...MIKE ROCHE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090427.HARDY.02/BGM