FNUS71 KBGM 271827 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR HARDYTOWN...DCNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 227 PM EDT MON APR 27 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1344 EDT ON APRIL 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... IT WILL REMAIN HOT AND DRY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. RH VALUES WILL LOWER TO AROUND 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON BUT WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. ON TUESDAY, A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PRIOR TO THAT TIME RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOW FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL ALSO BECOME GUSTY DURING THIS TIME. CONDITIONS MAY APPROACH RED FLAG CRITERIA DURING THIS PERIOD. BY AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL INCREASE AS THE FRONT MENTIONED ABOVE APPROACHES. COOLER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 6700 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (90500 KNOT-FT). EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EDT) 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE TEMP................85 91 RH..................25 20 20 FT WIND..........SW 7 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 5 SW 6 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 20 LAL.................1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 VRATE KT-FT/1000....91 91 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MAX HUMIDITY........67-86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 22 MPH...INCREASING TO 31 TO 37 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (67800-90500 KNOT-FT). EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............1 0 0 0 0 4 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................85 78 72 67 63 60 RH..................25 39 51 59 65 75 20 FT WIND..........SW 7 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 5 SW 4 SW 4 SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 10 5 5 5 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 6 6 VRATE KT-FT/1000....91 91 91 91 68 68 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........32-39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 13 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500-6700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 32 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (63000-67800 KNOT-FT). EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 13 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............4 0 10 15 18 36 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP................57 57 60 63 65 68 RH..................83 67 39 32 40 38 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 SW 2 W 6 W 9 W 10 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 25 25 25 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 2 SW 2 W 4 W 7 W 7 SW 7 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 10 25 25 25 LAL.................1 3 3 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 4 4 4 VRATE KT-FT/1000....68 68 68 68 63 63 $$ FORECASTER...HEDEN REQUESTED BY...MIKE ROCHE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090427.HARDY.03/BGM