FNUS71 KCTP 271537 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR WOODRUFF FIRE...PA BUREAU OF FORESTRY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1137 AM EDT MON APR 27 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1129 EDT ON APRIL 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO 30 PERCENT OR LESS AND SSWLY WINDS WILL BE IN THE 10-15MPH RANGE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 20-25MPH. DESPITE THE RECENT GREEN-UP...DEAD FUEL MOISTURE IS STILL RATHER LOW BASED ON WFAS DATA. THE FIRE DANGER CATEGORY WILL RANGE BETWEEN HIGH AND VERY HIGH ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL PENN. HOWEVER BASED ON WINDS AND EXPECTED PRECIPITATION IN THE COMING DAYS...RED FLAG CRITERIA IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 22 TO 26 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........29 26 24 17 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 81 82 81 RH..............38 30 28 28 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 TRANSPORT WIND..W 26 SW 25 SW 24 SW 24 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH...DECREASING TO 9 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........14 11 12 16 20 27 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 69 67 64 62 61 RH..............34 52 52 55 58 52 20 FT WIND......SW 9 SW 5 S 5 S 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.20 10 10 10 10 10 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 22 SW 16 S 12 S 9 SW 10 SW 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 0800...THEN 16-25 STRIKES UNTIL 1400...THEN >25 STRIKES. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 15 TO 16 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........36 43 49 55 61 69 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............60 60 67 71 74 70 RH..............56 68 47 41 41 41 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 SW 8 SW 9 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 20 15 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15 SW 21 W 26 W 28 W 22 NW 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 40 40 40 60 60 LAL.............1 4 4 4 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/LACORTE REQUESTED BY...JOHN BRODNICKI TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090427.WOODR.01/CTP