FNUS73 KAPX 271956
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRITTLE 2...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
356 PM EDT MON APR 27 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION
OVERNIGHT...BEFORE EXITING THE STATE TUESDAY MORNING. NORTH WINDS ON
THE BACK SIDE OF THE FRONT...WILL DIMINISH IN THE AFTERNOON BEFORE
TURNING NORTHEAST AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE WESTERN LAKES.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE LOWER TUESDAY GENERALLY UNDER 35 PERCENT
...WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AROUND 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN MONDAY.


.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 56.
RH..................30 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (700).

TIME (EDT)      4 PM
SKY (%).........30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE
TEMP............54
RH..............30
20 FT WIND......N 9
20 FT WIND GUST.20
HAINES INDEX....5
SMOKE DISP......700

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0).

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........30     20     20     20     25     25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     48     44     41     38     35
RH..............36     46     55     59     67     78
20 FT WIND......N 7    N 7    N 6    N 6    N 6    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     10
SMOKE DISP......600    400    100    0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...SCOTT ROZANSKI
REQUESTED BY...BSTEARNS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090428.BRITT.01/APX