FNUS73 KJKL 280925
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BARREN FORK 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
525 AM EDT TUE APR 28 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE RECENT STRING OF HOT AND VERY DRY WEATHER WILL COME
TO AN END AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE BURN AREA TONIGHT.
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING
MOISTURE RESULTING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL THEN SHIFT
BACK AND FORTH ACROSS THE BLUEGRASS STATE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK BRINGING PERIODIC SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    DEVELOPING AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH AFTER 1000.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH AFTER 1000.
POP.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....70.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........44     54     64     68     73     78
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............64     70     74     76     77     75
RH..............78     66     48     44     45     50
20 FT WIND......S 6    SW 9   SW 9   SW 8   SW 7   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.13     16     18     16     16     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. A CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH OR LESS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 MPH OR LESS.
POP.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........79     80     81     82     84     87
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............73     68     65     62     61     59
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 3   S 2    S 1    S 1    S 1
20 FT WIND GUST.7      5      4      3      3      3
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
POP.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.

$$
FORECASTER...EDWARDS
REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090428.BARRE.01/JKL