FNUS73 KAPX 291302
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACK PINE...STATE OF MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
902 AM EDT WED APR 29 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EDT ON APRIL 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST OF THE AREA...WITH A
PREVAILING EAST-SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL APPROACH 20 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON...DRIVEN BY DOWNSLOPE FLOW FROM THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO
THE WEST. IF WE ARE ABLE TO MIX SLIGHTLY DEEPER THAN EXPECTED
TODAY /AROUND 4K/...RH VALUES COULD FALL INTO THE UPPER TEENS THIS
AFTERNOON. SOUTHEAST WINDS MAY BECOME A BIT MORE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
BY LATE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS AT GREATER THAN 20 MPH FROM THE
SOUTHEAST AT IGNITION TIME.  INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE SOUTH
THROUGHOUT THE DAY BUT NO PRECIPITATION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
RH..................30 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 11 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 11 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 22
                    TO 28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3400-4400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1000) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (1200).

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........42     53     53
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     62     64
RH..............30     22     20
20 FT WIND......SE 9   SE 10  SE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20
SMOKE DISP......900    1200   1100

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........53     58     58     58     83     83
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............62     57     53     50     49     48
RH..............23     34     44     55     63     65

$$
FORECASTER...JAMES KEYSOR
REQUESTED BY...RANDY MCKENZIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090429.JACKP.01/APX