FNUS73 KAPX 291303 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD STATE RD...STATE OF MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 903 AM EDT WED APR 29 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EDT ON APRIL 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS ONTARIO WILL SLIDE EASTWARD INTO NEW ENGLAND TODAY PROVIDING MAINLY SUNNY SKIES TO THE REGION...ALTHOUGH HIGH CLOUD COVER WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY. GOOD DAYTIME HEATING/MIXING COMBINED WITH A DRY AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DIPPING BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS...20 TO 25 PERCENT FOR MANY AREAS AWAY FROM THE GREAT LAKES...WHILE RH VALUES IN A FEW INLAND LOCATIONS MAY FALL INTO THE UPPER TEENS FOR A TIME. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES AND WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL RED FLAG CONDITIONS. TONIGHT...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL IMPACT THE REGION THURSDAY PRODUCING SOME RECOVERY IN HUMIDITY READINGS. BUT A BIT MORE ACTIVE WEATHER RETURNS FOR THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING AS A COLD FRONT SLIPS THROUGH THE STATE. THIS SYSTEM WILL PROVIDE INCREASING HUMIDITIES AND A LIKELY CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS FOR MANY COMMUNITIES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 61. RH..................30 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 20 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 22 TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3500-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (900) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1000). TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........20 35 35 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............55 58 61 RH..............30 23 20 20 FT WIND......E 9 SE 9 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 SMOKE DISP......800 1000 900 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47. RH..................MAX 68 PERCENT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........49 60 60 60 77 77 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 54 50 47 47 48 RH..............23 34 44 53 58 56 SMOKE DISP......800 600 200 100 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...BRIAN ADAM REQUESTED BY...RANDY MCKENZIE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090429.OLDST.01/APX