FNUS73 KMPX 291128
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-28-4...CAMP RIPLEY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
628 AM CDT WED APR 29 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL CROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR SO WITH SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND
EARLY THURSDAY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY AND CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AS WELL. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE IN PLACE TODAY
KEEPING SOME RATHER DRY AIR IN PLACE ACROSS FAR EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND
WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN THIS MORNING...BUT MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
IN THESE AREAS THROUGH THE DAY. SOME SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO THURSDAY BUT
AN OVERALL DRYING TREND WILL BE IN PLACE. COOLER AIR WILL WORK IN FOR FRIDAY
WITH A LOW CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
                    DAY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 57.
RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 13 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (16000-58900) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (68500-102900) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 22 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 32 TO 37
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............44     49     51     54     57     56
RH..............70     61     59     54     51     55
20 FT WIND......SE 10  SE 12  SE 14  SE 15  SE 14  SE 12
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     25     25     25     20
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE
                    OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (67000-104500) DECREASING TO POOR TO
                    GOOD (6400-48600) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 31 TO 38 MPH DECREASING TO 20 TO 28 MPH
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 17 TO 24 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20
                    PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57.
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5100-36300) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (112400-150100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-6100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 24 TO 33 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MCQUIRTER
REQUESTED BY...MATT GRAEVE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090429.C284_.01/MPX