FNUS73 KMPX 291225 FWSMPX SPOT FORECAST FOR PHASIANUS UNIT 5...FWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 725 AM CDT WED APR 29 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL CROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY AND CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AS WELL. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE IN PLACE TODAY KEEPING SOME RATHER DRY AIR IN PLACE ACROSS FAR EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN THIS MORNING...BUT MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN THESE AREAS THROUGH THE DAY. SOME SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO THURSDAY BUT AN OVERALL DRYING TREND WILL BE IN PLACE. COOLER AIR WILL WORK IN FOR FRIDAY WITH A LOW CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 59. RH..................77 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (17200-64300) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (69000-74700) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 24 TO 33 MPH. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............47 49 50 52 53 55 56 58 59 59 58 58 RH..............83 80 77 74 71 66 64 62 60 60 64 64 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..11 12 12 14 14 14 14 14 12 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 25 25 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (21100-63000) DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (2500-13000) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 24 TO 32 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61. RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR MODERATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (10000-55300) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (138300-171900). MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-6300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 17 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 28 TO 37 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. $$ FORECASTER...MCQUIRTER REQUESTED BY...USFWS LITCHFIELD WMD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090429.PHASI.01/MPX SKY (%) LEGEND CLR = CLEAR MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR PC = PARTLY CLOUDY MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY CDY = CLOUDY