FNUS71 KBTV 301413 FWSBTV SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTHWOODS CLUB MINERVA LITTLE BEAVER MT...FEDERAL OR STATE AGENCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 1013 AM EDT THU APR 30 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0947 EDT ON APRIL 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL SLIDE EAST AND OFFSHORE TODAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING QUICKLY EASTWARD WILL THEN SPREAD WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TO THE REGION TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. CONDITIONS WILL THEN SLOWLY IMPROVE BY THIS WEEKEND AS SEASONABLY COOL HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS TO NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 18 AND 23 PERCENT...ALONG WITH SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH THIS MORNING...WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. WITH DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS OVER THE PAST WEEK...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS WILL LIKELY BE MET IN THESE AREAS. WHILE VEGETATION CONTINUES TO GREEN UP ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS BELOW 1500 FEET...FINE FUELS REMAIN QUITE DRY ACROSS SOUTHERN AND WESTERN ESSEX COUNTY NEW YORK. ANY FIRES THAT DO OCCUR WILL LIKELY SPREAD QUICKLY...BURN INTENSELY...AND BECOME DIFFICULT TO CONTAIN. A WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN IS ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH RAINFALL TOTALS BETWEEN BETWEEN THREE AND FIVE TENTHS OF AN INCH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS TOWARD EVENING. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. BEGIN/END OF PCPN... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH...THEN INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............3 3 9 12 10 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP................44 56 61 63 62 RH..................53 30 24 24 28 20 FT WIND..........S 6 SW 14 SW 17 SW 18 SW 17 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 20 25 30 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. BEGIN/END OF PCPN... MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............31 72 86 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP................60 57 52 50 50 52 RH..................33 42 61 74 77 80 20 FT WIND..........SW 16 SW 15 SW 14 SW 14 SW 15 SW 16 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 25 25 25 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).....40 100 100 100 100 100 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN OCCASIONAL SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. BEGIN/END OF PCPN... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............100 100 100 100 100 79 WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE OCNL OCNL OCNL OCNL OCNL WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................54 56 57 58 60 58 RH..................80 74 80 80 69 72 20 FT WIND..........SW 15 SW 14 SW 14 SW 16 SW 20 SW 17 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 30 30 25 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).....100 80 80 80 80 80 $$ FORECASTER...RJS/TABER REQUESTED BY...LT STEVE PRESTON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090430.NORTH.01/BTV