FNUS74 KMAF 020157
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR COWDEN RANCH...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
857 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1939 MDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
FLAT UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA.  A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PERMIAN BASIN AS OF 0145Z WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH TONIGHT AND SHOULD
MAKE IT TO THE FIRE SITE BEFORE SUNRISE WITH GUSTS OVER 20 MPH POSSIBLE.
LOOK FOR COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A LITTLE HIGHER RH SATURDAY BUT STILL
VERY DRY.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........16 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST
                    15 TO 20 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........6 /HIGH/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT /165000 KNOT-FT/ DECREASING TO POOR
                    /0 KNOT-FT/ IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (MDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............83     75     72     70     67     63
RH..............6      8      10     12     15     21
20 FT WIND DIR..SW     SW     SW     SW     NW     NE
20 FT WIND SPD..17     19     19     19     16     20
20 FT WIND GUST.20
MIX HGT (FT)....11000  < 100  < 100  < 100  < 100  < 100
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW     SW     SW     SW     SW     SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15     8      8      9      8      8
HAINES INDEX....6      6      6      6      6      6

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........9 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH BECOMING WEST DURING AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 /HIGH/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR /3000-14000 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT /221000 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............62     66     75     79     81     81
RH..............24     27     24     23     20     16
20 FT WIND DIR..N      N      N      NW     NW      W
20 FT WIND SPD..23     23     20     19     17     15
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....500    500    1500   8000   8000   10500
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW     NW     W      W      W      W
TRANSP WIND SPD.5      5      9      19     19     21
HAINES INDEX....6      6      6      4      4      4

$$

FORECASTER...CAIN
REQUESTED BY...MELINDA HORN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090501.COWDE.01/MAF