FNUS73 KMPX 011529
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DOG LAKE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1029 AM CDT FRI MAY 1 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS HAVE ALREADY STARTED TO PICK UP THIS MORNING AND WILL REMAIN IN THE 14 TO
18 MPH RANGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. GUSTINESS IS ALSO ON THE INCREASE THIS
MORNING...AND BY THE AFTERNOON GUSTS WILL BE UP TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL BE FROM
THE WEST-NORTHWEST BETWEEN 280 AND 300 DEGREES. SKIES WILL REMAIN MAINLY CLEAR
THROUGH THE MORNING...THOUGH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSING THROUGH NORTHERN
MINNESOTA WILL BRING A RETURN TO SCATTERED TO BROKEN CLOUD COVER BY THE
AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DIP INTO THE UPPER 30S THIS AFTERNOON AS WEST
WINDS HELP BRING DRIER AIR INTO THE AREA.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.
RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 14 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (63500-97200) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (134000-149900) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500-8800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 21 TO 25 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............50     54     55     54     50     46
RH..............51     41     37     36     46     53
20 FT WIND......W 13   W 14   W 14   W 12   W 7    W 4
20 FT WIND GUST.20     22     24     20     15     5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (126200-126700) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (1500-2800).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 14 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2600-34500) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (163100-198300).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400-10800 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...GRIESINGER
REQUESTED BY...USFWS LITCHFIELD WMD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090501.DOGLA.01/MPX