FNUS73 KMPX 011027
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SBR BU 4 6...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
527 AM CDT FRI MAY 1 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
IT WILL BE A FAIRLY COOL AND DRY DAY ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS AROUND 10 MPH
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE BY IGNITION TIME TO AROUND 12 MPH WITH
GUSTS APPROACHING 20 MPH AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY AFTER THE NOON HOUR. WINDS WILL
INCREASE A BIT MORE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS OF 12 TO 15 MPH AND GUSTS
OF 19 TO 23 MPH OR SO BY MID AFTERNOON. WIND DIRECTION WILL BE WEST-NORTHWEST
BETWEEN 270 AND 290 DEGREES. SKIES WILL BE A MIX OF CLOUDS AND SUN AS A WEAK
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES BY THIS AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON BUT ANY RAINFALL WOULD BE BRIEF
AND LIGHT.  NOTE... 2 HOURLY 20 FT WIND FORECAST FORMATTED AS FOLLOWS...
WIND DIRECTION/WIND SPEED  .

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.
RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (10900-52400) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (134200-155000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200-8800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 17 TO 24 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....              ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TEMP............44     49     52     54     55     53
RH..............65     50     43     38     37     39
20 FT WIND......290/10 280/10 290/11 290/13 280/11 280/09
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     22     20     15
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34.
RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (137300) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (1300-1700).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 18 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 13 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20
                    PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1700-51300) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (95700-143900) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (176300-215200) IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (138400) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400-10100 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 31 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BARDOU
REQUESTED BY...RUSS LANGFORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090501.SBRBU.01/MPX