FNUS73 KGRR 021311
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR DANAHER CREEK 3...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
911 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1330 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TODAY WILL BE DRY ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN. HOWEVER A FEW VERY LIGHT SHOWERS COULD OCCUR TODAY AND
EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN. THEN INTO
SUNDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA BRINGING FAIR SKIES
AND MILD DAYTIME TEMPERATURES FROM 60 TO 65.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SPRINKLES.
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 58.
RH..................38 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 24 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 31
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL
                    FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 10700 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 10900-11400 FT AGL
                    DECREASING TO 8100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 4700 FT
                    AGL IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (1500 KNOT-FT) FROM LATE MORNING
                    THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (2800 KNOT-FT) FROM LATE MORNING
                    THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    /3300 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    /3500 KNOT-FT/ DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (2200
                    KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (1100 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE EVENING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SPRINKLES IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 9 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-300 KNOT-FT).

.SUNDAY...

TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62.
RH..................MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 14
                    TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 4300 FT AGL IN
                    THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    TO EXCELLENT (500-900 KNOT-FT) FROM LATE
                    MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (1300-1700
                    KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT
                    (700-1100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE DAY DECREASING
                    TO EXCELLENT (600 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...MARINO
REQUESTED BY...JOHN HUSCHKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090502.DANAH.01/GRR