FNUS71 KRNK 022326 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR STABLE FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 726 PM EDT SAT MAY 2 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1917 EDT ON MAY 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM CENTRAL VIRGINIA...VERY NEAR THE SIRE SITE AT THIS TIME...WESTWARD INTO SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. THIS FRONT WILL SAG SOUTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA BORDER OVERNIGHT...BUT REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. THE FRONT WILL THEN WAVER ACROSS THE AREA UNTIL MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION. THE CHANCE OF RAIN DECREASES ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES. && .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CWR (0.01 IN).......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 13 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).............70 71 72 71 72 79 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................72 70 67 64 61 60 RH..................55 58 64 77 86 90 20 FT WIND..........NW 4 NW 3 NW 2 N 2 NE 2 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......NW 3 NW 2 NW 2 N 1 NE 1 E 1 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 5 5 5 CWR.................60 50 40 30 30 50 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. CWR (0.01 IN).......70 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 14 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............83 89 88 85 86 88 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................58 59 62 64 66 67 RH..................95 92 84 79 74 70 20 FT WIND..........E 1 E 2 SE 5 SE 6 S 5 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 15 25 EYE LEVEL WIND......E 1 E 1 SE 4 SE 4 S 4 S 7 EYE LVL WND GST..... 10 15 15 25 CWR.................50 40 40 40 40 70 .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CWR (0.01 IN).......80 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 21 TO 24 MPH LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............92 95 98 98 97 99 WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................66 63 60 58 57 56 RH..................69 76 82 87 88 90 20 FT WIND..........SW 11 SW 10 SW 6 SW 5 SW 4 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 20 15 10 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 8 SW 7 SW 5 SW 4 SW 3 SW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....25 20 15 10 10 5 CWR.................70 60 60 60 60 80 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......80 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 33 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 20 TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............100 94 86 85 87 91 WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................54 56 60 63 65 66 RH..................96 90 79 72 67 64 20 FT WIND..........W 2 W 2 SW 2 S 3 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......W 1 W 1 SW 2 S 2 E 4 E 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 5 5 10 10 CWR.................80 70 70 60 60 60 $$ FORECASTER...JACKSON REQUESTED BY...TED DOCEV TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090502.STABL.01/RNK