FNAK71 PAFC 031415
FWSAER

SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT RICHARDSON RX...BUREAU LAND MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
615 AM AKDT SUN MAY 3 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 AKDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR CONTINUES TO SUPPORT
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE AOR. A THERMAL TROUGH WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TODAY. THIS PATTERN WILL PRODUCE SOUTHEAST
WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH THROUGH ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY LATER
THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ANCHORAGE BOWL
DUE TO LOCAL GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE SOUTH
AND WEST SIDE OF ANCHORAGE...ALTHOUGH THE BURN SITE MAY SEE LOCAL GUSTS
AS HIGH AS 15 TO 20 MPH.

.TODAY...

...RED FLAG IN EFFECT FROM 2PM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH 9PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS IN ANCHORAGE...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT N WINDS BECOMING SW 5 TO 10 MPH WITH LOCAL
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT.
MIXING WINDS........NE 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).........SW WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT.
MIXING WINDS........S 3 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SW WINDS BECOMING W THROUGH NW WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT.
MIXING WINDS........W 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SHEA
REQUESTED BY...JOE DON MORTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090503.FORTR.01/AER