FNUS73 KUNR 032040
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHADEHILL 3...USFS/SDSF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
240 PM MDT SUN MAY 3 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1450 MDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS...WITH POSSIBLY SOME THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON.
ALSO...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLIDE THROUGH THE AREA ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON...BRINGING A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 TO 700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69.
RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................32 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 TO 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 31 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...JS
REQUESTED BY...STEVEN IPSWITCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090503.SHADE.02/UNR