FNUS75 KGJT 040657
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK RIDGE RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1257 AM MDT MON MAY 4 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A PACIFIC DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH TODAY AND HELP TO PRODUCE
SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL REACH
THE VERY GOOD CATEGORY WITH MARGINAL INSTABILITY BY MID MORNING.
SHOWERS WILL LINGER THROUGH TUESDAY. A DRYING TREND STARTS TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THE GRADIENT
ALOFT TIGHTENS IN WESTERLY FLOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DOMINATED WINDS 3-6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AT 5-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 THEN BECOMING VERY GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    TERRAIN DOMINATED AFTER 2200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000 THEN TURNING POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...AS
REQUESTED BY...DOUG PAUL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090504.BLACK.01/GJT