FNUS73 KMPX 041120
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR D-23-14...CAMP RIPLEY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
620 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE NEAR DULUTH WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST TODAY. LIGHT SOUTHEAST
WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 10 MPH BY LATE
THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AS A TROF OF LOW
PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE DAKOTAS. SOME SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS THE TROF MOVES ACROSS MINNESOTA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 9 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (800-44600) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (57800-90000) LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100-7700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15
                    TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP............45     56     62     66     67     65
RH..............65     43     35     30     29     34
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 8   S 10   S 10   S 10   SE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.       15     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      4      4      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (37700-87100) DECREASING TO
                    POOR TO FAIR (4200-20700) IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (4500-50300) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (85000-124200) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (163000-210400) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (131500) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (67100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5200-6600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 7700-8900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 10100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 7300
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4400
                    FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 24 TO 32 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...HILTBRAND
REQUESTED BY...MATT GRAEVE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090504.D2314.01/MPX