FNUS73 KMPX 041307
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLLY 2...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
807 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0820 CDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TODAY ALLOWING SOUTHERLY
WINDS TO RETURN TO THE PLANNING FORECAST AREA. WINDS WILL BEGIN
MORE SOUTHEAST THIS MORNING BEFORE BECOMING CLOSE TO DUE SOUTH
THIS AFTERNOON. SPEEDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS
TO 20 MPH LIKELY IN WESTERN MINNESOTA. HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO
25 TO 35 PERCENT FROM WESTERN WISCONSIN TO WESTERN MINNESOTA.
RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TONIGHT DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE AND PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK DUE TO AN UNSETTLED
WEATHER PATTERN. NO HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME
HOWEVER. THE MOST LIKELY WINDOWS OF TIME FOR RAIN ARE LATE
TONIGHT AND THEN AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTICULARLY IN SOUTHERN
MINNESOTA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 13 TO 18 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1300-34800) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (118500-143000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000-9600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 23 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............40     49     58     64     67     68
RH..............64     53     45     40     37     39
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 5    S 9    S 12   S 15   S 16
20 FT WIND GUST.5             15     20     20     25
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.
RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (13900-53600) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (104800-151900).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800-8600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...RICHARDSON
REQUESTED BY...BRAD BOLDUAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090504.HOLLY.01/MPX