FNUS73 KAPX 061243 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 7...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 843 AM EDT WED MAY 6 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MAY 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL LEAD TO INCREASING CLOUDS THIS MORNING AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL REACH THE MID 70S...BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER THAN TUESDAY DUE TO A MORE MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OUT OF THE UPPER MIDWEST AND INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY LEADING TO A BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 75. RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6000-6700 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1300) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1500). TIME (EDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........60 73 78 WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............71 73 74 RH..............42 38 35 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......1300 1400 1500 .TONIGHT... TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50. RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM TEMP............72 67 59 54 53 52 RH..............39 52 64 74 80 83 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 3 S 3 S 4 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 5 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 SMOKE DISP......1400 800 100 0 0 100 .THURSDAY... TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74. RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 21 TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(2000). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM TEMP............51 54 63 69 70 72 RH..............89 90 67 55 49 39 20 FT WIND......S 5 SW 6 SW 7 SW 9 W 10 W 12 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 20 25 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4 SMOKE DISP......0 0 400 1100 1800 2000 $$ FORECASTER...ANDREW SULLIVAN REQUESTED BY...JOE RASPOTNIK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090506.COMP7.01/APX