FNUS73 KGID 061203
FWSGID

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCMURTREY WPA...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
703 AM CDT WED MAY 6 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
WORK EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...AND WILL PUSH EAST OF THE
BURN AREA BEFORE THE 11 AM IGNITION TIME. WINDS WILL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST BEHIND THE TROUGH...WITH SPEEDS AROUND 15 MPH AND
GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THEN EXPECTED THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. DRIER
AIR WILL ALSO WORK IN BEHIND THE TROUGH...AND COMBINE WITH
TEMPERATURES REACHING THE UPPER 70S THIS AFTERNOON TO DROP
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES INTO THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE. DEEP MIXING
CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...LEADING TO EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL. ANOTHER
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS LATE TONIGHT...WITH
THIS PRECIPITATION LIKELY LINGERING INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL AROUND 11 AM...INCREASING TO 9600 FT
                    AGL AROUND 4 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO LESS THAN 300 FT AGL BY 10 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND
6 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.

$$
FORECASTER...NWS
REQUESTED BY...BRICE KROHN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090506.MCMUR.01/GID