FNUS75 KBOU 071950 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ROAD GULCH P1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 144 PM MDT THU MAY 7 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STORMS WILL BE HIGH BASED AND WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH BUT VERY LITTLE RAINFALL INITIALLY. OVERALL COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64. MIN HUMIDITY........14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 11-21 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9400-10400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-32. MAX HUMIDITY........95-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-14 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN NORTH 7-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHEAST 5-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHEAST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 6600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 3400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 400-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN 800-1800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....53. MIN HUMIDITY........42%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ROAD GULCH P1. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/07-13 44 0 66 15 W 13 1 10268 W 35 309052 E 05/07-14 44 0 67 13 W 17 1 10729 W 36 336823 E 05/07-15 44 0 68 11 W 21 33 3 1 W55 11190 W 38 364594 E 05/07-16 44 0 69 10 W 22 1 10522 W 38 342087 E 05/07-17 44 0 68 11 W 23 1 9853 W 37 319580 E 05/07-18 44 0 65 13 W 22 35 3 1 W59 9185 W 37 297074 E 05/07-19 44 0 61 15 W 18 1 6242 W 30 199558 E 05/07-20 44 0 55 21 W 15 1 3300 W 22 102043 V 05/07-21 44 0 49 28 W 12 12 3 1 W61 357 W 15 4527 P 05/07-22 44 0 45 35 W 9 1 313 W 13 3572 P 05/07-23 44 0 41 41 W 8 1 268 W 10 2617 P 05/08-00 45 0 39 46 W 7 7 3 1 W63 224 W 8 1662 P 05/08-01 45 0 36 50 W 7 1 233 W 9 1746 P 05/08-02 45 0 34 54 W 7 1 241 W 9 1831 P 05/08-03 45 0 32 58 W 7 7 2 1 W67 250 W 9 1915 P 05/08-04 45 0 31 63 W 6 1 241 W 8 1761 P 05/08-05 45 0 31 66 W 5 1 233 W 8 1607 P 05/08-06 45 0 31 69 W 5 5 2 1 W69 225 W 7 1452 P 05/08-07 45 0 34 65 W 7 1 299 W 9 2811 P 05/08-08 45 0 38 57 W 9 1 373 W 12 4169 P 05/08-09 45 0 44 45 W 12 12 2 1 W64 447 W 14 5528 P 05/08-10 45 0 49 32 W 14 1 3591 W 22 105884 V 05/08-11 45 0 54 24 W 15 1 6735 W 29 206240 E 05/08-12 60 10 57 18 W 16 25 3 2 W59 9878 W 36 306596 E 05/08-13 60 10 59 15 W 18 2 10038 W 35 303319 E 05/08-14 60 10 60 14 W 20 2 10198 W 33 300043 E 05/08-15 60 10 61 14 W 20 31 3 2 W55 10357 W 33 296766 E 05/08-16 60 10 62 17 W 18 2 9849 W 31 263834 E 05/08-17 60 10 61 22 W 16 2 9341 W 28 230903 E 05/08-18 55 10 58 32 W 14 22 3 2 W56 9683 W 29 239168 E 05/08-19 55 10 56 35 W 9 2 6540 W 21 159805 E 05/08-20 55 10 50 44 W 6 2 3397 W 13 80443 G 05/08-21 55 10 45 55 NW 3 3 3 2 W51 254 W 5 1080 P 05/08-22 55 10 42 63 N 5 2 820 W 8 9422 P 05/08-23 55 10 39 70 E 8 2 1387 S 12 17763 P 05/09-00 48 27 38 75 E 10 10 2 1 W63 1953 SE 15 26105 P 05/09-01 48 27 36 81 SE 9 1 1493 SE 13 18798 P 05/09-02 48 27 33 92 SE 7 1 1034 SE 10 11492 P 05/09-03 48 27 32 96 S 6 6 3 1 W68 574 SE 8 4186 P 05/09-04 48 27 30 100 S 6 1 563 S 9 4447 P 05/09-05 48 27 29 100 S 7 1 553 S 10 4708 P 05/09-06 48 18 28 100 S 8 8 2 1 W63 542 S 10 4969 P 05/09-07 48 18 30 98 S 8 1 1147 S 12 13474 P 05/09-08 48 18 35 75 SW 7 1 1752 SW 14 21978 P 05/09-09 48 18 42 58 SW 7 7 2 1 W63 2357 SW 15 30483 P 05/09-10 48 18 46 50 S 7 1 3194 SW 17 49450 F 05/09-11 48 18 49 44 S 8 1 4030 W 18 68416 G 05/09-12 38 19 51 43 S 8 8 2 1 W60 4866 W 21 87383 G 05/09-13 38 19 51 43 S 8 1 4284 W 20 72497 G 05/09-14 38 19 52 42 S 7 1 3702 W 17 57612 F 05/09-15 38 19 53 42 SW 7 7 3 1 W61 3120 W 16 42726 F 05/09-16 38 19 52 45 S 7 1 2757 SW 12 30125 P 05/09-17 38 19 51 46 S 8 1 2394 SW 7 17525 P 05/09-18 67 12 50 50 SE 8 8 3 2 W56 2031 SW 2 4924 P 05/09-19 67 12 47 54 SE 8 2 1815 S 5 6127 P 05/09-20 67 12 43 62 SE 8 2 1599 S 6 7330 P 05/09-21 67 12 39 66 SE 7 7 3 2 W68 1383 SE 7 8533 P 05/09-22 67 12 37 76 SE 7 2 1369 SE 6 6998 P 05/09-23 67 12 35 88 SE 6 2 1355 SE 5 5462 P 05/10-00 58 12 34 94 SE 5 5 2 2 W63 1341 E 3 3926 P 05/10-01 58 12 33 98 E 3 2 1055 E 2 2771 P 05/10-02 58 12 31 100 CALM 2 768 NE 2 1615 P 05/10-03 58 12 30 100 CALM 1 3 2 W70 481 CALM 459 P 05/10-04 58 12 29 100 NE 2 2 411 N 3 852 P 05/10-05 58 12 28 100 NW 5 2 341 NW 5 1245 P 05/10-06 53 9 28 100 W 6 6 2 1 W73 271 W 7 1638 P 05/10-07 53 9 29 97 NW 6 1 1576 W 10 23678 P 05/10-08 53 9 36 74 NW 6 1 2882 W 15 45719 F 05/10-09 53 9 43 56 NW 7 7 2 1 W67 4188 W 18 67759 G 05/10-10 53 9 48 44 NW 9 1 5944 W 24 143769 V 05/10-11 53 9 52 35 W 13 1 7700 W 30 219778 E 05/10-12 51 9 54 31 W 16 25 2 1 W73 9456 W 36 295788 E 05/10-13 51 9 54 29 W 18 1 9298 W 36 288099 E 05/10-14 51 9 56 27 W 21 1 9140 W 36 280410 E 05/10-15 51 9 56 27 W 21 33 2 1 W66 8982 W 35 272722 E 05/10-16 51 9 55 28 NW 17 1 8571 W 29 221821 E 05/10-17 51 9 54 30 NE 13 1 8160 W 23 170921 E 05/10-18 54 10 52 33 E 8 8 2 W60 7749 NW 17 120021 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...MIKE HESSLER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090508.ROADG.01/BOU