FNUS72 KMFL 091025 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEP FIRE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 625 AM EDT SAT MAY 9 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR INTERIOR COLLIER COUNTY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35% FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS... .DISCUSSION...TODAY'S WEATHER ACROSS THE BURN SITE WILL BE MUCH LIKE THE LAST FEW DAYS'. EXPECT DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS WITH A SEA BREEZE PUSHING INLAND AND REACHING THE FIRE SITE IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER WITH THE SEA BREEZE. THERE IS A RED FLAG WARNING FOR INTERIOR SECTIONS OF COLLIER COUNTY, HOWEVER THE BURN SITE WILL LIKELY NOT REACH CRITERIA AS THE SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN BEFORE THE SUB 35% RH LASTS 4 HRS, HOWEVER 2 OR 3 HOURS OF RHS IN THE MID 30S IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LOW, BUT DISPERSIONS WILL REMAIN FAIR TO GENERALLY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. DEWPOINT............70. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....21 INCREASING TO 46. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM SKY (%).........25 60 60 60 60 60 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 TEMP............82 87 91 90 89 83 RH..............58 43 36 39 43 56 20 FT WIND......SE 2 S 3 S 4 S 4 S 4 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 2 S 3 S 4 S 4 S 4 SW 4 EYE LVL WIND G..5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 4400 6500 6500 5500 3000 MIXNG WIND......S 7 SE 7 E 7 E 7 SE 7 SE 7 DISP IDX (LDSI).21 36 49 49 43 5 LVORI...........8 5 2 2 2 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. DEWPOINT............72. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....4. LVORI...............6. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. DEWPOINT............73. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 46. LVORI...............3. $$ FORECASTER...TINGLER REQUESTED BY...J WAISLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE