FNUS75 KPUB 091456
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MANCHESTER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
856 AM MDT SAT MAY 9 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WIND DIRECTION FORECAST WILL BE TRICKY AS THE REGION
IS NEAR THE BOUNDARY OF AN UPSLOPE AIRMASS WHICH COVERS THE
EASTERN PLAINS.

FOR TODAY...THE BOUNDARY WILL DRIFT TO THE EAST OF THE
REGION...WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS CONTINUING OVER THE AREA. THERE WILL
BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STORMS TO PRODUCE GUSTY AND
VARIABLE WINDS.

TONIGHT...THE BOUNDARY WILL DRIFT WEST OF THE REGION...WITH LOW LEVEL
WINDS SWITCHING TO THE NORTHEAST.

SUNDAY...THE BOUNDARY SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING WEST OF THE REGION
DURING THE DAY...WITH THE LAYER OF EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS
BECOMING DEEPER DURING THE DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(51 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1200. VERY GOOD AFTER 1400.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2000...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34F.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN WEST
                    AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(68 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND.........
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    NORTHEAST 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WOLYN
REQUESTED BY...PIDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090509.MANCH.01/PUB