FNUS72 KRAH 091157
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR HARNETT EXERCISE...EM / NWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
757 AM EDT SAT MAY 9 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.SYNOPSIS...

A WARM...MOIST SURFACE FLOW COMBINED WITH UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

WINDS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO GUST TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN SOME LOCATIONS
AND THAT WILL CONTINUE WITH GUSTS INCREASING TO 25 AND POSSIBLY 30
MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED SHOWER IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...
BUT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY AFTER 3 PM.
SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE...WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING DAMAGING
WIND. WITH HIGHS EXPECTED AROUND 90...HEAT INDICES COULD REACH AS
HIGH AS THE MID 90S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5300-6300 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH...INCREASING TO 25 TO
                    29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH
                    LATE.

TIME (EDT)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........57        57        45        61
WEATHER COV.....S CHC     S CHC     S CHC     CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
TEMP............69        79        86        89
RH..............98        71        50        42
20 FT WIND......SW 7G15   SW 9G20   SW 10G25  SW 11G25

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........65        81        76        79
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
TEMP............88        78        73        69
RH..............44        68        80        82
20 FT WIND......SW 7G15   W 5G10    W 4G5     NW 4G5

$$
FORECASTER...WFO RAH/DJF
REQUESTED BY...GARY POPE
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20090509.HARNE.01/RAH