FNUS75 KBYZ 111024
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR PALISADE PASTURE BURN...CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
424 AM MDT MON MAY 11 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A FAST WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY. A
FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES WITHIN THIS FLOW WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR A SHOWER AND/OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. HOWEVER...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.
ALTHOUGH WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC IN AND NEAR ANY
THUNDERSTORM. AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 20
TO 28 PERCENT RANGE TODAY WITH HUMIDITIES REACHING AROUND 35
PERCENT AROUND THE 11AM TO 12PM TIMEFRAME. A BETTER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS ARRIVES TONIGHT AHEAD OF A STRONG COOL FRONT THAT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE BURN SITE BY EARLY AFTERNOON TUESDAY. SHOWERS
WILL BE LIKELY TUESDAY MORNING WITH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
POSSIBLE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES.
GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG AND BEHIND
THE FRONT TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  HOOLEY


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT.
CWR.................18 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 25 TO 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 30 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HOOLEY
REQUESTED BY...TIM BUMGARNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090511.PALIS.01/BYZ