FNUS73 KMPX 111034
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SBR BU 12W...FWS, SHERBURNE NWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
534 AM CDT MON MAY 11 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE ACROSS NORTH DAKOTA WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER
CONCERN TODAY AS IT MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL MINNESOTA
THIS AFTERNOON. LIMITED MOISTURE AT THE LOW LEVELS WILL KEEP
ANY CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION TODAY TO A MINIMUM. BETTER CHANCES
DEVELOP ON TUESDAY...AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS DEEPER MOISTURE BEGINS
TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST. THIS WEAK
DISTURBANCE TODAY DOES HAVE ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO GENERATE AN
ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM. PLEASE BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY OF GUSTY WINDS IF A THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPS NEAR
YOUR BURN SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE
                    AFTER 10 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH
                    5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (400-41400) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (57200-99900) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900-10400 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 16 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....NONE   ISOLD  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............45     55     61     65     66     64
RH..............70     49     39     33     30     32
20 FT WIND......SW 3   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   S 6    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5             10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE
                    OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (73100-105500) DECREASING TO POOR TO
                    GOOD (2700-40600) EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3000-49500) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (138300-180800).

$$
FORECASTER...TAGGART
REQUESTED BY...RUSS LANGFORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090511.SBRBU.01/MPX