FNUS73 KMQT 111406 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR BARAGA PLAINS UNIT B C...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 1006 AM EDT MON MAY 11 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE WEST-NORTHWESTERLY WINDS THAT YOU NOTED WILL BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY BY 1200. LAKE BREEZES FROM LAKE SUPERIOR WILL DOMINATE TODAY...AND MAY CONVERGE OVER THE BURN AT 1700...FROM THE NORTHWEST AND FROM THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. THIS COULD RESULT IN BRIEF BUT LIGHT WINDS FROM DIFFERING DIRECTIONS. SHOWERS THAT DO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN LIGHT...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE BURN. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BURN WILL BE EXITING INTO LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON ...AND MOVE TO SOUTHERN LAKE HURON BY TUESDAY MORNING. AS A RESULT...EXPECT WINDS TO BE ON THE INCREASE TUESDAY...WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON. FARTHER OUT...A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH UPPER MICHIGAN WEDNESDAY EVENING BRINGING WITH IT A WIDESPREAD RAINFALL. ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...AHEAD OF THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S AND WINDS WILL STEADILY INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1600. MAX TEMPERATURE.....53 AT IGNITION...MAX 61. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH. CONVERGING LAKE BREEZES MAY OCCUR AROUND 1700...AROUND 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (310) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (503). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6200-7500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 7400-8700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 6700 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE TO 0.01 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........27 47 48 42 36 WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............53 57 61 59 57 RH..............37 29 25 25 29 GENERAL WIND....NW 5 NW 6 NW 5 N 6 N 6 GENERAL GUST.... 8 9 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.310 333 437 468 336 MIX HGT (FT)....6200 8300 8700 7800 6700 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 35. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 89 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 11 TO 21 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1800 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........34 35 35 36 42 49 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............56 49 43 40 38 36 RH..............30 43 56 66 74 84 GENERAL WIND....NE 3 NE 3 SE 3 S 6 S 6 S 5 GENERAL GUST.... VINDX KT-FT/100.285 145 0 30 35 26 MIX HGT (FT)....5700 1800 BLW100 300 300 200 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS BY LATE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 64. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 38 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 11 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 36 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (209) INCREASING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1656) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (957) LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5200-6600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON... AND DECREASING TO 1900-3700 FT AGL LATE. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE TO 0.03 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........55 57 59 60 65 69 WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............37 50 59 62 63 63 RH..............87 58 43 38 38 40 GENERAL WIND....S 6 S 6 S 9 S 10 S 10 S 10 GENERAL GUST.... 12 17 19 20 25 VINDX KT-FT/100.35 91 552 1517 1610 957 MIX HGT (FT)....300 700 3100 6300 6200 3700 $$ FORECASTER...KF REQUESTED BY...ROBERT GARRISON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090511.BARAG.02/MQT