FNUS75 KBOU 111431 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES MARK JONES RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 830 AM MDT MON MAY 11 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG...ZONAL WESTERLY FLOW WILL BE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE AIRMASS WILL BE GENERALLY DRY...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. EXPECT EXCELLENT DISPERSION FOR BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON'S DUE TO THE STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW AT THE MID LEVELS. A WARMING TREND AND LOWERING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IS ALSO FORECAST FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. EXPECT...STRONGER SURFACE WINDS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH SOME STRONGER GUSTS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1600. MAX TEMPERATURE.....66. MIN HUMIDITY........16%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 14-21 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 11000-12000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000. MIN TEMPERATURE.....38. MAX HUMIDITY........45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200-400 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....71. MIN HUMIDITY........9%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST 17-27 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH AFTER 1100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 36-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 14600-15600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES MARK JONES RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/11-08 57 0 44 50 W 7 1 3887 W 24 97562 G 05/11-09 57 0 49 39 W 9 9 2 1 W60 5443 W 30 142344 V 05/11-10 34 0 54 29 W 12 1 6918 W 32 197542 E 05/11-11 34 0 58 22 W 14 1 8393 W 35 252741 E 05/11-12 40 0 61 18 W 16 26 2 1 W51 9868 W 36 307939 E 05/11-13 40 0 62 17 W 18 1 10570 W 35 312245 E 05/11-14 40 0 63 16 W 18 1 11272 W 32 316550 E 05/11-15 55 0 64 17 W 18 29 2 1 W46 11975 W 31 320856 E 05/11-16 55 10 65 17 W 18 2 11985 W 30 315058 E 05/11-17 55 10 64 18 W 17 2 11995 W 30 309260 E 05/11-18 53 10 62 19 W 15 24 3 2 W45 12005 W 29 303461 E 05/11-19 53 10 60 22 W 14 2 9860 W 28 239757 E 05/11-20 53 0 56 27 W 10 1 7714 W 25 176053 E 05/11-21 53 0 52 31 W 8 8 3 1 W49 5568 W 23 112349 V 05/11-22 53 0 49 35 W 8 1 3814 W 20 75965 G 05/11-23 53 0 46 37 W 8 1 2059 W 16 39581 P 05/12-00 44 0 45 38 W 9 9 3 1 W41 305 W 12 3197 P 05/12-01 44 0 43 42 W 9 1 266 W 12 2743 P 05/12-02 44 0 41 43 W 9 1 227 W 12 2288 P 05/12-03 44 0 40 44 W 10 10 3 1 W56 189 W 12 1833 P 05/12-04 44 0 39 45 W 10 1 186 W 10 1669 P 05/12-05 44 0 39 45 W 10 1 183 W 9 1505 P 05/12-06 33 0 39 43 NW 8 8 3 1 W49 180 W 8 1340 P 05/12-07 33 0 41 39 W 8 1 2181 W 14 40961 F 05/12-08 33 0 47 33 W 9 1 4037 W 18 79248 G 05/12-09 33 0 52 26 SW 10 10 2 1 W43 5893 W 23 117536 V 05/12-10 33 0 58 20 SW 13 1 8394 W 26 214083 E 05/12-11 33 0 62 15 W 16 1 10895 W 31 310631 E 05/12-12 33 0 65 12 W 20 30 3 1 W44 13396 W 35 407178 E 05/12-13 33 0 67 11 W 21 1 14413 W 36 455552 E 05/12-14 33 0 68 10 W 22 1 15429 W 38 503925 E 05/12-15 46 0 69 9 W 23 35 3 1 W44 16445 W 39 552298 E 05/12-16 46 0 69 10 W 24 1 15304 W 40 529876 E 05/12-17 46 0 69 10 W 24 1 14162 W 41 507454 E 05/12-18 46 0 67 12 W 24 37 3 1 W49 13020 W 43 485032 E 05/12-19 46 0 64 13 W 22 1 10579 W 45 405458 E 05/12-20 46 0 59 18 W 20 1 8138 W 47 325884 E 05/12-21 46 0 54 23 W 17 17 2 1 W41 5698 W 49 246310 E 05/12-22 46 0 51 26 W 15 1 4235 W 43 174825 E 05/12-23 46 0 48 29 W 14 1 2772 W 36 103341 V 05/13-00 28 0 46 32 W 12 12 2 1 W47 1310 W 28 31857 P 05/13-01 28 0 44 35 W 12 1 1036 W 25 23936 P 05/13-02 28 0 42 38 W 10 1 763 W 22 16015 P 05/13-03 28 0 41 40 W 9 9 2 1 W66 489 W 20 8094 P 05/13-04 28 0 40 40 W 9 1 650 W 21 11988 P 05/13-05 28 0 40 41 W 9 1 811 W 22 15882 P 05/13-06 28 0 40 40 W 9 9 2 1 W63 972 W 23 19776 P 05/13-07 28 0 42 37 W 10 1 2507 W 30 81956 G 05/13-08 28 0 44 34 W 12 1 4043 W 36 144136 V 05/13-09 28 0 48 29 W 14 14 2 1 W70 5579 W 43 206315 E 05/13-10 28 0 52 24 W 16 1 6643 W 44 257561 E 05/13-11 28 0 54 20 W 18 1 7706 W 46 308807 E 05/13-12 63 0 57 17 W 21 31 2 1 W73 8770 W 47 360053 E 05/13-13 63 0 58 16 W 21 1 8764 W 46 349608 E 05/13-14 63 10 59 14 W 21 2 8758 W 45 339162 E 05/13-15 63 10 59 14 W 22 33 2 2 W64 8752 W 44 328716 E 05/13-16 63 10 59 15 W 18 2 8428 W 40 294575 E 05/13-17 63 10 59 15 W 16 2 8104 W 37 260434 E 05/13-18 63 10 57 17 NW 14 14 3 2 W53 7780 W 33 226293 E 05/13-19 63 10 55 20 NW 10 2 7062 W 25 164710 E 05/13-20 63 10 50 26 NW 7 2 6344 W 17 103127 V 05/13-21 63 10 46 32 N 3 3 3 2 W40 5626 W 8 41543 F 05/13-22 63 10 44 37 N 5 2 5071 W 12 48160 F 05/13-23 63 0 41 41 NE 6 1 4515 S 15 54777 F 05/14-00 32 0 39 43 E 6 6 2 1 W41 3959 S 18 61394 G 05/14-01 32 0 38 46 SE 8 1 3387 S 18 54622 F 05/14-02 32 0 36 48 SE 10 1 2816 S 20 47850 F 05/14-03 32 0 35 49 S 13 13 3 1 W44 2244 S 21 41079 F 05/14-04 32 0 34 50 S 13 1 1965 SW 20 34037 P 05/14-05 32 0 34 50 S 12 1 1685 SW 18 26995 P 05/14-06 32 0 34 50 S 10 10 2 1 W49 1406 SW 16 19953 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...LARRY LONG REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090512.JAMES.01/BOU