FNUS71 KCTP 121028
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK BURN 2009...U.S. FOREST SERVICE/ANF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
628 AM EDT TUE MAY 12 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON MAY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE FAIR AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY...ACCOMPANIED
BY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS FRONT WILL STALL
SOUTH OF THE PENNSYLVANIA MARYLAND BORDER ON FRIDAY...THEN RETURN
NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT ON SATURDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE 60S AND 70S WITH DEWPOINTS IN
THE 20S AND 30S. THIS WILL RESULT IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN
THE UPPER 20S AND LOW 30S THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 5 TO 10 MPH OUT OF THE NW. 10 HOUR DEAD
FUEL MOISTURE WILL LIKELY FALL BELOW 10 PERCENT...SUPPORTING A LOW
TO MODERATE FIRE DANGER TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............13     18     22     22     14
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................44     53     57     59     59
RH..................57     39     31     27     27
20 FT WIND..........NW 5   NW 7   NW 8   NW 8   NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....       10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. WIDESPREAD FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............10     4      4      5      5      12
WEATHER COV.........                            WIDSPD WIDSPD
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FROST  FROST
TEMP................56     49     42     37     34     31
RH..................30     41     54     66     72     90
20 FT WIND..........NW 7   NW 5   NE 1   E 1    SE 2   SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10            5             5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. WIDESPREAD
                    FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 11 TO
                    16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............20     26     26     26     64     64
WEATHER COV.........WIDSPD                      S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........FROST  NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................33     41     55     64     66     67
RH..................91     75     48     37     35     35
20 FT WIND..........SE 2   SE 7   S 12   S 15   S 15   S 16
20 FT WIND GUST.....5             20     20     25     25

$$
FORECASTER...STEINBUGL
REQUESTED BY...GARY KOLESAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090512.OAKBU.01/CTP