FNUS73 KGRB 121534
FWSGRB

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH OXBOW FIELDS...DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1034 AM CDT TUE MAY 12 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 CDT ON MAY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN GREEN BAY.

.DISCUSSION...WARM SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE INCREASING THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS.
STILL HAVE AMPLE DRY AIR ABOVE THE SURFACE...BUT THESE SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL KEEP DEWPOINTS STEADY OR GIVE THEM A SLIGHT BOOST IN
THE AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL NOT BE NEARLY AS
LOW AS THE PAST COUPLE DAYS...AND WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOWER
30S. MID-LEVEL CLOUD DECK OVER MINNESOTA WILL BE PUSHING EAST THIS
AFTERNOON...AND MAY PROVIDE A LIGHT SHOWER OR SPRINKLE AFTER 3 PM
TODAY. BETTER CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE
TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW...WITH SOME HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...38 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 6000 FT AGL AT IGNITION. MAX...6600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AT AROUND 17 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....AROUND 126800 OR EXCELLENT AT IGNITION.
                    MAX...150000 OR EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN 60 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 83 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN...4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO MIN...500 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 29 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN...112900 OR EXCELLENT DECREASING TO
                    MIN...14000 OR FAIR EARLY IN THE EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER...MPC
REQUESTED BY...DIANE ANDERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090512.NORTH.01/GRB