FNUS72 KMLB 120944
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRAGONFFLY FIRE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
544 AM EDT TUE MAY 12 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0528 EDT ON MAY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL EXIST NORTH OF THE BURN SITE TODAY. MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT WILL ALLOW FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE THIS
AFTERNOON. ANY STORMS THAT ARE ABLE TO DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AND LIGHT THIS
MORNING AND THEN INCREASE UP TO 10 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON OUT OF
THE EAST TO NORTHEAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG AND SMOKE EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING EAST 6 TO 13
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 8 TO
                    10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....38.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY                         CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG                         TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............72  73  74  77  79  82  84  85  87  87  87  87
RH..............84  82  84  76  72  65  59  57  52  52  52  52
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   6   6   7   7   8   9   10  11  11  12
20 FT WIND GUST.                        10  10  15  15  15  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............6.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-4500 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....45.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...JOHN KERN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090512.DRAGO.01/MLB