FNUS73 KAPX 131432
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUT POND...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1032 AM EDT WED MAY 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A MIX OF CLOUDS AND SUN THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO GIVE
WAY TO THICKER CLOUD COVER AS THE AFTERNOON WEARS ON...ALONG WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 300 PM.  GUSTY SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE AN ISSUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SUSTAINED
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH EXPECTED WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.  MORE WIDESPREAD AND
HEAVIER RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING...EXPECTED TO
BRING ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAINFALL BY THURSDAY MORNING.  A COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT...BRINGING IN COOLER
AND DRIER (BUT BREEZY) CONDITIONS FOR THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 3 PM.
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 14 TO 18 MPH AT IGNITION...
                    GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 30 TO 36 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1400) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (1500).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 29 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 2.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH.
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 36 TO 44 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS
REQUESTED BY...BEN EBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090513.TROUT.01/APX