FNUS73 KPAH 130105 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR 2009 WIND DAMAGE...USFS SHAWNEE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 805 PM CDT TUE MAY 12 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MAY 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST OF THE HEARTLAND TONIGHT. IN ITS WAKE...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE SHARPLY LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY... AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DIMINISH WEDNESDAY MORNING. INCREASING WINDS ON WEDNESDAY MAY CAUSE DAMAGED OR WEAKENED TREES TO FALL. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 81. RH..................81 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 40 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................19 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1300-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-6400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO 38 TO 46 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............64 73 78 80 RH..............90 76 71 67 20 FT WIND......S 10G25 S 13G30 S 15G40 S 14G40 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 2300 4500 6200 TRANSPORT WIND..S 20 S 38 S 40 S 41 CWR.............20 20 10 10 HAINES INDEX....2 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CRIST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090513.2009W.01/PAH