FNAK71 PAFC 141912
FWSAER

SPOT FORECAST FOR MI  17 EAST END RD...ADNR/DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1112 AM AKDT THU MAY 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1013 AKDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SUNNY SKIES WILL DOMINATE ONCE AGAIN TODAY ALLOWING
FOR AN AFTERNOON AND EVENING SEA BREEZE TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ALONG
KACHEMAK BAY. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG CURRENTLY OVER COOK INLET WILL BEGIN
TO MOVE INTO KACHEMAK BAY THIS AFTERNOON AND LIKELY REACH THE FIRE
AREA THIS EVENING. THIS CLOUD COVER WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY
RESULTING IN SOMEWHAT COOLER AND MOISTER CONDITIONS. AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY OVER THE ARCTIC WILL DROP INTO SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA FRIDAY GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS DISTURBANCE...AND PREVENT THE SEA
BREEZE FROM DEVELOPING ACROSS THE FIRE AREA FRIDAY...ALTHOUGH NEARBY
LOWER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE BAY WILL STILL EXPERIENCE A WEAK SOUTHWEST
SEA BREEZE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. LOW CLOUDS MOVING INTO KACHEMAK BAY THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SE WIND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO SSW 10 MPH AROUND NOON AND THEN
                    INCREASING TO SW 15 TO 20 MPH BY 3 PM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 5800 FEET AGL THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SW 8 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG OVER KACHEMAK BAY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SW WIND 15 MPH EARLY EVENING DIMINISHING TO S 5 MPH BY 9 PM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FEET AGL EARLY EVENING FALLING TO 800 FEET AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........S 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG OVER KACHEMAK BAY. ISOLATED LATE
                    AFTERNOON SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........S WIND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO N 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FEET AGL EARLY MORNING RISING TO 6500 FEET AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NW 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BAINES
REQUESTED BY...F V COLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090514.MI17E.01/AER