FNUS75 KBOU 142304 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIERSTADT TRAINING...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 505 PM MDT THU MAY 14 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...FAIRLY STRONG WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS CONTINUE OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT IN FRIDAY AS A BROAD UPPER TROUGH PUSHES SLOWLY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA INTO SATURDAY MORNING. MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE PRETTY MOIST OVER THE FORECAST AREA INTO SATURDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-43. MAX HUMIDITY........55-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 11-21 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36-52 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8200-9200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1000-2000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0200. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65. MIN HUMIDITY........20-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 9400-10400 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40. MAX HUMIDITY........70-80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 2200-3000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-63. MIN HUMIDITY........30-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIERSTADT TRAINING. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/14-16 51 0 68 18 W 17 1 9804 W 46 392918 E 05/14-17 51 0 67 18 W 18 1 9302 W 47 384513 E 05/14-18 50 0 66 20 W 21 33 2 1 W60 8801 W 49 376108 E 05/14-19 50 0 63 22 W 15 1 7644 W 47 315055 E 05/14-20 50 0 58 26 W 10 1 6487 W 44 254002 E 05/14-21 50 0 54 31 W 8 8 2 1 W60 5331 W 41 192949 E 05/14-22 50 0 51 35 W 8 1 4249 W 38 147177 V 05/14-23 50 0 48 39 W 10 1 3168 W 35 101405 V 05/15-00 50 0 46 43 W 13 13 2 1 W62 2086 W 31 55633 F 05/15-01 50 0 44 47 W 13 1 1719 W 28 42846 F 05/15-02 50 0 42 52 W 12 1 1352 W 24 30059 P 05/15-03 50 0 41 56 W 12 12 2 1 W70 984 W 21 17272 P 05/15-04 50 0 40 58 W 12 1 1109 W 21 20130 P 05/15-05 50 0 40 60 W 13 1 1234 W 22 22987 P 05/15-06 55 0 40 53 W 13 13 2 1 W59 1359 W 22 25845 P 05/15-07 55 0 42 50 W 13 1 2533 W 24 59086 F 05/15-08 55 0 45 46 W 13 1 3708 W 26 92327 G 05/15-09 55 0 50 40 W 13 13 2 1 W53 4882 W 30 125568 V 05/15-10 55 0 54 34 W 13 1 6321 W 29 157375 E 05/15-11 55 0 57 29 W 13 1 7759 W 29 189183 E 05/15-12 71 20 59 26 W 13 13 2 3 W45 9197 W 28 220990 E 05/15-13 71 20 61 25 W 12 3 9592 W 25 211404 E 05/15-14 71 20 62 24 W 10 3 9987 W 23 201818 E 05/15-15 71 20 62 23 W 9 9 2 3 W35 10382 W 22 192232 E 05/15-16 71 20 63 24 SW 9 3 10312 W 17 158354 E 05/15-17 71 20 62 26 SE 10 3 10242 W 14 124475 V 05/15-18 71 31 60 28 E 12 12 2 2 W23 10172 SW 10 90597 G 05/15-19 71 31 58 31 E 10 2 8483 SW 9 71960 G 05/15-20 71 31 54 38 SE 8 2 6794 S 8 53324 F 05/15-21 71 31 50 44 SE 6 6 2 2 W25 5105 S 8 34687 P 05/15-22 71 31 47 51 SE 6 2 4410 S 9 34731 P 05/15-23 71 31 45 56 SE 7 2 3714 S 12 34775 P 05/16-00 62 39 43 60 SE 8 8 2 1 W40 3019 S 14 34819 P 05/16-01 62 39 41 63 SE 8 1 2874 S 15 37685 P 05/16-02 62 39 39 66 SE 8 1 2729 S 17 40552 F 05/16-03 62 39 38 69 SE 8 8 2 1 W35 2584 S 20 43419 F 05/16-04 62 39 37 72 SE 7 1 2441 S 17 36651 P 05/16-05 62 39 37 75 SE 7 1 2298 S 15 29883 P 05/16-06 70 10 37 78 SE 6 6 2 1 W40 2154 SW 13 23115 P 05/16-07 70 10 39 71 SE 6 1 2477 SW 12 25325 P 05/16-08 70 10 42 61 SE 6 1 2800 W 12 27536 P 05/16-09 70 10 47 53 SE 6 6 2 1 W28 3123 W 12 29746 P 05/16-10 70 10 50 47 SE 6 1 3935 W 10 33443 P 05/16-11 70 10 53 44 SE 5 1 4748 W 9 37140 P 05/16-12 38 9 56 41 SE 5 5 2 1 W23 5560 W 8 40837 F 05/16-13 38 9 57 40 SE 5 1 5575 W 9 44999 F 05/16-14 38 9 58 39 SE 3 1 5591 W 10 49160 F 05/16-15 38 9 58 38 SE 3 3 2 1 W26 5606 W 12 53321 F 05/16-16 38 9 59 39 SE 5 1 5318 W 12 51790 F 05/16-17 38 9 58 40 E 6 1 5030 W 12 50259 F 05/16-18 28 0 57 42 E 6 6 2 1 W26 4742 W 12 48728 F 05/16-19 28 0 56 43 SE 5 1 3798 W 10 37260 P 05/16-20 28 0 53 45 SW 5 1 2855 W 9 25791 P 05/16-21 28 0 50 48 W 3 3 2 1 NW25 1911 W 8 14323 P 05/16-22 28 0 48 50 W 3 1 1426 W 8 10458 P 05/16-23 28 0 46 51 W 5 1 940 NW 7 6592 P 05/17-00 22 0 45 52 W 6 6 2 1 NW22 455 NW 7 2726 P 05/17-01 22 0 44 53 W 7 1 375 W 7 2296 P 05/17-02 22 0 42 54 W 7 1 295 W 7 1866 P 05/17-03 22 0 41 53 W 8 8 2 1 NW29 215 W 8 1435 P 05/17-04 22 0 41 53 W 9 1 214 W 9 1610 P 05/17-05 22 0 41 53 W 10 1 214 W 9 1784 P 05/17-06 22 0 41 53 W 12 12 2 1 NW32 213 W 10 1959 P 05/17-07 22 0 44 49 W 12 1 1755 W 14 28578 P 05/17-08 22 0 49 42 W 10 1 3297 W 16 55197 F 05/17-09 22 0 54 35 W 9 9 2 1 NW30 4839 NW 20 81815 G 05/17-10 22 0 59 30 W 8 1 6093 NW 20 101436 V 05/17-11 22 0 63 26 W 7 1 7348 NW 20 121058 V 05/17-12 18 0 66 23 W 5 5 2 1 NW30 8602 NW 18 140679 V 05/17-13 18 0 68 21 W 2 1 9464 NW 18 151377 E 05/17-14 18 0 69 20 W 3 1 10327 NW 18 162075 E 05/17-15 18 0 70 19 W 3 3 2 1 NW25 11189 NW 17 172773 E 05/17-16 18 0 70 20 W 3 1 10795 NW 17 161504 E 05/17-17 18 0 69 21 NW 5 1 10401 NW 16 150235 E 05/17-18 18 0 68 24 NW 5 5 2 1 NW21 10006 NW 16 138966 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...LANDON VOM STEEG REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20090514.BIERS.01/BOU