FNUS75 KGJT 131738
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR GEORGE ACTIVITY BURN...CO-SUA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1138 AM MDT WED MAY 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE AND COLD FRONT IS SCHEDULED
TO MOVE INTO NORTHWEST COLORADO LATE THURSDAY AND THEN ACROSS
SOUTHWEST COLORADO ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL KEEP THE AFTERNOONS AND
EARLY EVENINGS BREEZY. A LITTLE MORE MOISTURE IS EXPECTED ON
FRIDAY WHICH WILL RESULT IN SOME CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. VIRGA
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE.


.THURSDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY. AFTER 1300 WEST WINDS
                    INCREASING TO 5-10 MPH...THEN INCREASING TO
                    10-15 MPH AFTER 1600 WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........41-46%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN DECREASING
                    TO 4-8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (11000 KNOT-FT) BY 2200.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1600 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%) WITH SOME VIRGA DEVELOPING IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON...MAINLY OVER
                    NEARBY HIGHER TERRAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 3-5 MPH INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH
                    AFTER 1300 WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. WINDS WILL
                    BECOME MORE VARIABLE AND GUSTY AS VIRGA AND/OR
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. ERRATIC GUSTS 25-30
                    MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...FUELS SPECIALIST
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090514.GEORG.01/GJT