FNUS75 KGJT 150411
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR GEORGE ACTIVITY MONITOR...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1011 PM MDT THU MAY 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2115 MDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT AND UPPER TROUGH WILL BRUSH BY
NORTHERN COLORADO EARLY TODAY. WEST WINDS ALOFT WILL INCREASE IN THE
MORNING THROUGH ABOUT 1400, THEN GRADUALLY DECREASE. SURFACE WINDS
AT THE SITE SHOULD BE TERRAIN DOMINATED, WITH OCCASIONAL WESTERLY
GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON. UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND MODERATE WINDS
WILL PRODUCE FAVORABLE SMOKE DISPERSAL.

SATURDAY WILL SEE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WITH LIGHTER WINDS,
THOUGH MAXIMUM MIXING HEIGHT WILL REMAIN HIGH. THERE IS A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS AS SOME MOISTURE ROTATING INTO
THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHEAST.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50% HIGH CLOUD).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 0930, THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-7 MPH. AFTER 1200 OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH...MAINLY FROM THE WEST AND THE
                    NORMAL UPVALLEY DIRECTION.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0930, THEN BRIEFLY FAIR. IMPROVING
                    STEADILY TO EXCELLENT BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AFTER 0930, INCREASING 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......AFTER 2100 BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR AFTER 2200 (5000-12800 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....AFTER 2100, DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON (15% CHANCE).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 0930, THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR VIRGA AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0930, THEN FAIR. IMPROVING TO GOOD
                    BY 1500.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....AFTER 0930, BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO
REQUESTED BY...FUELS SPECIALIST
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090514.GEORG.03/GJT