FNUS72 KMLB 140846
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRAGONFLY FIRE...MARTIN COUNTY FIRE RESCUE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
446 AM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0401 EDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW LEVEL RIDGE AXIS TO THE NORTH WILL CONTINUE TO
PROVIDE A DEEPENING EAST-SOUTHEAST FLOW THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CAN'T
RULE OUT A BRIEF ISOLATED MORNING SHOWER. THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL
ALLOW THE MARINE AIR MASS TO PENETRATE WELL INLAND EARLY IN THE DAY.
THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR ISOLATED
SHOWER AND LIGHTNING STORM DEVELOPMENT IN THE AFTERNOON...MAINLY EARLY.
WHILE 20 FOOT WINDS WILL PICK UP TO 10-15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...OCCASIONAL
GUSTS TO 20 MPH BE POSSIBLE. FOG CHANCES WILL BE LOW OVERNIGHT AND WILL
BE GREATEST NEAR AREAS THAT RECEIVE RAINFALL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....49.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............72  73  73  76  79  82  83  84  85  84  83  82
RH..............87  84  87  79  69  63  61  57  55  57  59  61
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   6   7   8   9   10  12  13  13  14
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS VERY EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............6.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN AFTERNOON
                    SHOWER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 15 TO 16 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-4700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 21 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....57.

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...PAM RERKO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090514.DRAGO.01/MLB