FNUS72 KMLB 142253
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRAGONFLY FIRE...DIVISION OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
653 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1705 EDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL DIMINISH BETWEEN SUNSET AND
MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT OR NEARLY CALM IN THE IN THE PREDAWN HOURS.
THE COMBINATION OF LIGHT WINDS AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL ALLOW PATCHY FOG
TO DEVELOP.  IN ADDITION...THE CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW A
SURFACE-BASED TEMPERATURE INVERSION TO DEVELOP WHICH WILL TRAP SMOKE
AND FOG BELOW 300 FT.  LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL TRANSPORT THE
SMOKE PLUME TOWARD STATE ROAD 46...ESPECIALLY POINTS SOUTH AND WEST OF
LAKE HARNEY.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY CLOUDY THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BECOMING MOSTLY
   CLEAR AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING IN
   THE PREDAWN HOURS.
MIN TEMPERATURE....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY.......94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                   BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....0 PERCENT.
LAL................1.
MIXING HEIGHT......2000-3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL
                   AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...3.
LVORI..............7.

TIME (EDT)         8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%)............PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLR   MCLR   MCLR   MCLR
WEATHER COV........                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE.......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP...............78     75     73     72     73     69
RH.................75     80     85     90     92     93
20 FT WIND.........SE 8   E 7    SE 7   SE 5   SE 2   E 2
20 FT WIND GUST....10


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                   SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                   AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY.......55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                   LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....20 PERCENT.
LAL................1.
MIXING HEIGHT......200-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-4700 FT AGL
                   LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....EAST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 21 MPH
                   EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX...74.
LVORI..............0.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...JOHN KERN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090514.DRAGO.02/MLB