FNUS75 KMSO 141640
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIRCH CREEK PILES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1040 AM MDT THU MAY 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1045 MDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHWEST MONTANA THIS
AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND INCREASING WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT. INCREASING INSTABILITY MAY PRODUCE AN EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORM WITH THE SHOWERS. THE FRONT WILL EXIT THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR MUCH WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS
THIS WEEKEND AND MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-75% THROUGH 1300 THEN
                    40-50% AFTER 1300.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    AFTER 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH AND GUSTY THROUGH 2100
                    BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...RPN
REQUESTED BY...DOUG CAFFEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090514.BIRCH.01/MSO