FNAK79 PAFG 161647
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR SMALL ARMS RANGE...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE MILITARY ZONE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
847 AM AKDT SAT MAY 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 AKDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
AKDT SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR LOW RH TODAY AND SUNDAY. RH WILL RECOVER ABOVE
40 PERCENT OVERNIGHT BUT WILL DRY OUT AGAIN TOMORROW. RIDGE BUILDING
FROM THE WEST WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD THROUGH SUNDAY AND WILL CONTINUE
TO SHIFT EAST...PRODUCING A WARMING AND DRYING TREND. WEAK FLOW AT THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT TODAY WILL ALLOW DRAINAGE WINDS TO DOMINATE. OVERALL
FLOW WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY AS THE CREST OF THE RIDGE
MOVES EAST OF FORT WAINWRIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9700 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 17 MPH BECOMING EAST 3 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...DOLLARD JAKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090516.SMALL.02/AFG