FNUS72 KMLB 170041
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRAGONFLY FIRE...DIVISION OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
841 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2028 EDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE AND 20 FOOT WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT TO CALM
OVERNIGHT AS THE ATMOSPHERE DECOUPLES. SMOKE NEAR OR DOWNWIND FROM
THE BURN PERIMETER MAY BECOME TRAPPED UNDER THE INVERSION...RESULTING
IN REDUCED VISIBILITIES ALONG THE ROADWAYS. THE OVERNIGHT INVERSION
IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO ERODE WITHIN A FEW HOURS OF SUNRISE ON SUNDAY
MORNING...QUICKLY INCREASING 20 FOOT AND TRANSPORT WINDS AND MIXING
HEIGHTS AND IMPROVING VISIBILITIES NEAR THE FIRES.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1000 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7
                    MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............75  75  74  73  73  72  71  71  70  71  73  74
RH..............74  74  76  79  79  81  84  84  87  92  84  84
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8   6   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   3
20 FT WIND GUST.10              5   5   5                   5

.SUNDAY...

CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4900 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....57.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY EARLY THEN CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING THEN SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...GLITTO
REQUESTED BY...JOHN KERN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090516.DRAGO.02/MLB