FNUS75 KBOU 172034 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIAN CREEK TRAINING...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 233 PM MDT SUN MAY 17 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A LARGE UPPER RIDGE WITH WEAK FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL WITH A PRETTY DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75. MIN HUMIDITY........15-25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11400-12400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600. VERY GOOD AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-44. MAX HUMIDITY........45-55%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5-10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 400-1400 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80. MIN HUMIDITY........10-20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11400-12400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200. GOOD AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR INDIAN CREEK TRAINING. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/17-14 22 0 71 14 N 7 1 12257 NW 16 173538 E 05/17-15 22 0 71 15 N 7 7 2 1 NW23 12620 NW 15 165505 E 05/17-16 22 0 70 16 N 6 1 11880 NW 14 140379 V 05/17-17 22 0 69 19 NE 5 1 11140 NW 12 115253 V 05/17-18 22 0 67 22 NE 3 3 2 1 NW16 10389 NW 9 84105 G 05/17-19 22 0 64 25 N 3 1 8221 NW 7 60123 G 05/17-20 22 0 60 30 W 5 1 6054 W 6 36142 P 05/17-21 22 0 56 35 SW 5 5 2 1 NW13 3887 W 3 12161 P 05/17-22 22 0 53 39 SW 7 1 2678 W 6 8777 P 05/17-23 22 0 50 42 W 9 1 1469 W 7 5392 P 05/18-00 0 0 48 43 W 12 12 3 1 NW13 259 W 9 2008 P 05/18-01 0 0 46 45 W 12 1 224 W 9 1799 P 05/18-02 0 0 44 46 W 13 1 188 W 10 1591 P 05/18-03 0 0 43 48 W 12 12 3 1 NW12 152 W 10 1383 P 05/18-04 0 0 42 48 W 12 1 148 W 10 1278 P 05/18-05 0 0 42 49 W 10 1 144 W 9 1173 P 05/18-06 7 0 42 49 W 9 9 5 1 N10 139 W 9 1068 P 05/18-07 7 0 45 47 W 8 1 867 W 8 6258 P 05/18-08 7 0 50 41 W 6 1 1595 W 8 11448 P 05/18-09 7 0 56 34 W 3 3 5 1 N10 2323 NW 8 16638 P 05/18-10 7 0 61 26 W 2 1 5101 NW 7 27841 P 05/18-11 7 0 65 21 CALM 1 7879 W 7 39045 P 05/18-12 42 0 68 16 CALM 1 2 1 NW 8 10657 W 6 50248 F 05/18-13 42 0 70 15 W 2 1 11459 W 6 63609 G 05/18-14 42 6 71 14 W 2 1 12262 W 7 76970 G 05/18-15 42 6 72 14 W 3 3 3 1 W 8 13064 W 8 90331 G 05/18-16 42 6 72 15 W 5 1 12168 W 8 87189 G 05/18-17 42 6 72 17 NW 5 1 11273 W 9 84047 G 05/18-18 42 6 70 19 NW 5 5 4 1 W10 10377 W 9 80904 G 05/18-19 42 6 68 22 NW 5 1 7075 W 8 54756 F 05/18-20 42 6 63 27 W 5 1 3772 NW 7 28608 P 05/18-21 42 0 59 31 W 5 5 3 1 W 7 470 NW 6 2460 P 05/18-22 42 0 56 34 W 6 1 377 W 6 2024 P 05/18-23 42 0 54 36 W 7 1 284 W 7 1588 P 05/19-00 16 0 51 38 W 8 8 3 1 SW 9 191 W 7 1152 P 05/19-01 16 0 50 40 W 8 1 172 W 8 1104 P 05/19-02 16 0 48 43 W 8 1 153 W 8 1056 P 05/19-03 16 0 46 45 W 9 9 4 1 SW16 134 W 8 1008 P 05/19-04 16 0 46 45 W 9 1 132 W 8 973 P 05/19-05 16 0 45 45 W 8 1 129 W 8 938 P 05/19-06 17 0 45 45 W 8 8 4 1 W10 126 W 8 903 P 05/19-07 17 0 48 42 W 8 1 535 W 7 2627 P 05/19-08 17 0 52 37 SW 7 1 944 W 6 4350 P 05/19-09 17 0 57 31 SW 6 6 4 1 SW 5 1353 W 5 6074 P 05/19-10 17 0 62 26 S 5 1 4496 SW 5 11976 P 05/19-11 55 0 65 21 S 3 1 7639 SW 3 17879 P 05/19-12 55 10 68 18 SE 3 3 3 2 SW 5 10782 S 2 23781 P 05/19-13 55 10 70 17 SE 5 2 11626 S 5 52362 F 05/19-14 65 18 70 17 S 5 3 12471 S 7 80943 G 05/19-15 65 18 71 17 S 7 7 3 3 SW12 13315 S 9 109524 V 05/19-16 65 18 72 17 S 8 3 12502 S 9 98520 G 05/19-17 65 18 71 18 S 9 3 11688 SW 8 87517 G 05/19-18 65 18 69 20 S 10 10 3 3 SW 8 10875 SW 8 76513 G 05/19-19 65 18 67 23 S 12 3 8466 SW 9 61484 G 05/19-20 65 18 63 28 SW 12 3 6056 SW 9 46454 F 05/19-21 65 18 59 35 SW 12 12 2 3 S17 3647 W 10 31424 P 05/19-22 65 18 56 41 SW 12 3 2535 W 10 22057 P 05/19-23 65 18 54 46 W 12 3 1423 W 12 12690 P 05/20-00 39 2 52 51 W 12 12 2 1 W17 310 W 13 3323 P 05/20-01 39 2 50 54 W 12 1 274 W 13 2972 P 05/20-02 39 2 48 57 W 12 1 237 W 13 2621 P 05/20-03 39 2 47 60 W 12 12 2 1 W26 200 W 13 2270 P 05/20-04 39 2 46 60 W 10 1 200 W 13 2215 P 05/20-05 39 2 46 60 W 10 1 199 W 13 2161 P 05/20-06 44 2 46 59 W 10 10 2 1 W24 198 W 13 2107 P 05/20-07 44 2 48 54 W 10 1 1852 W 16 38044 P 05/20-08 44 2 53 45 W 10 1 3506 W 21 73982 G 05/20-09 44 2 58 38 W 10 10 2 1 SW26 5160 W 24 109919 V 05/20-10 44 2 62 32 W 9 1 7053 W 24 151579 E 05/20-11 44 2 66 28 W 9 1 8946 W 25 193239 E 05/20-12 69 20 68 26 W 9 9 2 3 W35 10839 W 25 234898 E 05/20-13 69 20 70 24 W 9 3 11726 W 24 242788 E 05/20-14 69 20 71 23 W 9 3 12612 W 23 250678 E 05/20-15 69 20 71 21 W 9 9 2 3 W25 13498 W 22 258569 E 05/20-16 69 20 72 21 W 8 3 12901 W 21 231803 E 05/20-17 69 20 71 21 W 8 3 12305 W 20 205037 E 05/20-18 69 23 69 22 W 8 8 2 3 W23 11708 W 17 178271 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090517.INDIA.01/BOU