FNUS76 KMFR 171208
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROSIE UNIT 20...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
508 AM PDT SUN MAY 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH
THE WEATHER VERY SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS EXPERIENCED ON SATURDAY AT THE BURN
SITE. IT WILL BE A BIT WARMER TODAY...HOWEVER. TONIGHT WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE ALOFT...BUT THIS IS UNLIKELY TO EFFECT THE BURN SITE UNTIL MONDAY
AFTERNOON. MONDAY AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSE TO SUNDAYS VALUES
WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT WILL MIX
MORE WIND TO THE SURFACE IN THE AFTERNOON ON MONDAY. INCREASING MOISTURE
FROM THE SOUTH MAY BE ENOUGH TO SPARK SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THOUGH THE OVERALL CHANCE IS ABOUT 20
PERCENT AT THIS TIME.


.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 2-4 MPH WITH GUSTS 5 MPH BECOMING SSW 2-4 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS 5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL RISING TO 9000-10000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5-10 MPH UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SSW 10-15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-84 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WIND BECOMING NORTH 1-3 MPH WITH GUST 5-7 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN VARIABLE 3 MPH OR LESS LATE EVENING
                    ONWARD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL OR LESS LATE
                    EVENING ONWARD.
MIXING WINDS........BECOMING NORTH 5-10 MPH...THEN VARIABLE 5 MPH.


.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LATE AFTERNOON TO EVENING
                    DRY THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WIND 2-5 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 7 MPH BECOMING
                    SSW 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS 7-12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS EARLY MORNING INCREASING TO
                    10000-12000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10-15 MPH INCREASING AND BECOMING SSW 15 TO
                    25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...RUDY RIOS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090517.ROSIE.02/MFR