FNUS73 KBIS 181823
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR PENINSULA UNIT...TNC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
123 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 CDT ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...YES...THERE WILL BE A WIND SHIFT WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO
FOLLOW THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT HAS SLIPPED THROUGH
YOUR PROPOSED BURN AREA. NORTHWEST TO NORTHERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST BY 1700L CDT.

THE BEST FORECAST ON THE WINDS...AT 1500L CDT THE WINDS LOOK
NORTHERLY BETWEEN 10 AND 20 MPH. WINDS WILL SHOW SIGNS OF
SWITCHING FROM NORTH TO NORTHEAST BETWEEN 1500L AND 1700L CDT
BEFORE BECOMING FIRMLY NORTHEAST AT 1700L CDT. WINDS WILL ALSO
BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN BY 1700L AND ONWARD...FROM 10 TO 20 MPH
INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO AN EASTERLY DIRECTION BY SUNRISE TUESDAY WITH SPEEDS
BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH. A DISTURBANCE WILL ALSO MOVE THROUGH
TONIGHT POSSIBLY BRINGING A RAIN SHOWER OR TWO INTO THE BURN AREA.
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO FALL THIS AFTERNOON AS THE COOLER AIR
FILTERS IN FROM THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. YOUR MAX TEMPERATURE AND
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY LOOK LIKE THEY BOTH HAVE ALREADY BEEN
REACHED FOR THE DAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........72F AT IGNITION...
RH..................AROUND 40 PERCENT AT IGNITION.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS BECOMING NORTHERLY BETWEEN 10 MPH
                    AND 15 MPH THROUGH 1700L. FROM 1700L AND INTO THE
                    OVERNIGHT PERIOD...NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO
                    20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SIMOSKO
REQUESTED BY...ERIC ROSENQUIST
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090518.PENIN.01/BIS