FNUS73 KFGF 181252 FWSFGF SPOT FORECAST FOR BALKE LAKE...USFWS DL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 752 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WINDY DAY LIES AHEAD AS A COLD FRONT IS PREPARING TO PASS THROUGH THE REGION. EXPECT BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT. MY BEST ESTIMATE IS THAT THE FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH WESTERN BECKER COUNTY BETWEEN 11 AM AND NOON. THE WINDS WILL THEN BECOME NORTH AND GUSTY WITH GUSTS REACHING 25 TO 30 MPH. THERE WILL BE SOME CLOUD COVER...BUT ENOUGH SUN TO SET UP DRY RH VALUES IN THE 30 PERCENT RANGE. SINCE IT WAS REALLY A DIFFICULT FORECAST TODAY...WITH TEMPS AND DEW POINTS DROPPING IN THE AFTERNOON...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THIS LATE MAY SUN SETS UP EVEN DRIER RH VALUES. IF THE RH VALUE COMES IN SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER...THE WEATHER MAY APPROACH CRITICAL CONDITIONS DUE TO THE WINDS. SMOKE DISPERSION LOOKS GOOD. THINK TOMORROW WILL GENERALLY BE DRIER AND LESS WINDY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73. MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 21 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........55 56 57 57 58 59 59 59 59 59 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............56 61 64 68 69 69 69 68 65 62 RH..............56 51 48 41 37 37 36 36 37 40 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W NW NW N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..12 11 9 8 8 10 14 15 16 17 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 15 15 20 25 25 25 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38. MAX HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 16 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........59 58 56 53 49 46 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............59 51 44 40 37 36 RH..............41 49 60 68 69 70 20 FT WIND......N 17 N 15 NE 14 NE 12 NE 11 NE 11 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 20 20 20 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66. MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-2800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 15 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 26 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........43 41 43 51 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............35 48 59 63 RH..............71 55 33 29 20 FT WIND......NE 12G20 E 12G20 E 12G20 E 12G20 $$ FORECASTER...GROCHOCINSKI REQUESTED BY...LINDY MCNEILUS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090518.BALKE.01/FGF