FNUS76 KLOX 172307
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHOTRAINING 2...CNTY LAC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
407 PM PDT SUN MAY 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER NEVADA WILL SLOWLY MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
THROUGH MONDAY. THIS ATMOSPHERIC CHANGE WILL HELP TO MODERATE OUR
TEMPERATURES JUST A BIT. WHILE IT WILL INCREASE THE MARINE INFLUENCE
IN COASTAL AND COASTAL VALLEY LOCATIONS, IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH
THE FIRE LOCATION. THE OTHER IMPACT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN MID LEVEL
MOISTURE IMPORTED ON SOUTHEAST FLOW. THIS ADDITIONAL IMPACT WILL
RESULT IN AFTERNOON CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ON MONDAY. AT THIS TIME...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXECTED OVER THE SURROUNDING MOUNTAINS BUT
THIS SITUATION WILL BE WATCHED VERY CLOSELY.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY BY
                    MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT AT SUNRISE LOWERING TO 21-28 PERCENT.
WINDS
 EYE LEVEL..........NORTHEAST 3-5 MPH BEFORE 9 AM BECOMING SOUTH
                    10-14 MPH BY MIDDAY.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 7-10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10-20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL RISING TO 6000 FT AGL BY 10 AM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8-15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MORRIS
REQUESTED BY...DREW SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090518.RANCH.01/LOX