FNUS75 KABQ 191506 FWSABQ SPOT FORECAST FOR LA SOTELLA...SANTA FE NATIONAL FOREST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 906 AM MDT TUE MAY 19 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. DISCUSSION... PERSISTENCE WILL BE A FAIRLY GOOD FORECAST THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ALTHOUGH...CERTAINLY EXPECT SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN THE WEATHER AS IT CONCERNS HOURLY TRENDS IN HUMIDITY...TEMPERATURE AND WIND. THANKS IN LARGE PART TO VARIABLE CLOUDINESS AND DEVELOPING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA. THE MAJOR CHANGE FROM YESTERDAY TO TODAY IS THE STEERING FLOW FOR THE STORMS. LOOKING FOR MORE OF A SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST STEERING FLOW AND SHOULD BE A LITTLE FASTER TODAY. ON WEDNESDAY THE STEERING FLOW WILL BE FAIRLY SIMILAR TO TODAY. FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0855 MDT 5/19/09 CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY TO OCCASIONALLY MOSTLY CLOUD DURING THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72-75. RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 18-23 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........UPSLOPE FLOW ORIGINATING FROM THE SIDE SLOPES 4 TO 7 MPH DURING THE MORNING. SOME BATTLING OF WIND EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON WITH UPSLOPE FLOW AND SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 20S. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 17 KNOTS. VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/195500 KNOT-FT. FOR TONIGHT CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47-51. RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 48-55 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHERLY WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE 1 TO 5 MPH BY LATE EVENING. OCCASIONAL GUSTS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. FOR WEDNESDAY CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY DURING THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-72. RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 23-28 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 7 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL GUSTS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S. STRONGER GUSTS AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 12 KNOTS. VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/114000 KNOT-FT. FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED. FORECASTER...50 $$ REQUESTED BY...JON BOE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090519.LASOT.01/ABQ